“More Than Yes‑Men: Loyalty, Expertise, and the Quality of Foreign Policy Decision‑Making.” International Affairs (revise & resubmit - special issue submission), forthcoming March 2027.
“Getting Inside the Mind of Leaders and Advisers: A Data Collection Strategy for Historical Case Studies in International Relations” (with Pascal Vennesson) International Studies Perspectives 26 (3) (2025), pp. 356-376: https://doi.org/10.1093/isp/ekae017
“Naming and Shaming China: America’s Strategy of Rhetorical Coercion in the South China Sea” (with Haridas Ramasamy) in Contemporary Southeast Asia 42, No. 3 (2020), pp.317-345; DOI: 10.1355/cs42-3a
“No Peace without Pause: Why Ceasefires Must Precede Negotiation in Ukraine," Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies (IDSS) papers, RSIS, NTU, December 9, 2025.
“The Psychology of Waiting in U.S.-China Economic Statecraft: Why Washington's Demand for Speed and Beijing's Patience Create New Risks in the Tariff War," China Dialogues (LSE IDEAS, London School of Economics and Political Science), December 5, 2025.
"HMS Queen Elizabeth’s Indo-Pacific Deployment," with Ben Ho, Proceedings, 1 March 2021.
"Coping with COVID-19 the ASEAN way," with Haridas Ramasamy, East Asia Forum, 10 July 2020.
"The ‘Crisis’ in Coronavirus Crisis Communications: Southeast Asia and the Contest of Narratives," with Ian Li Huiyuan, RUSI Commentary, 28 May 2020.
"'The Battle of Narratives': Coronavirus and the EU Infodemic", RUSI Commentary, 11 May 2020.
"'NATO is Brain-Dead': Time for EU Military Force?", RSIS Commentary, 21 November 2019.
UNDER REVIEW
“The Confidence Trap: Leader-Advisor Deliberations and the Making of (In)Credible Threats” (under review, International Security).
“Finding the Confidence Sweet Spot: A Method for Measuring Leaders’ Confidence in Foreign Policy Assessments” (under review, International Studies Quarterly).
“Reasoning with the Past: The Uses of History in U.S.-China Competition” with Matthew Conklin (under review, International Organization).
BOOK PROJECT (based on ISA Carl Beck Award dissertation research)
The Confidence Trap: How Leaders and Advisers Assess the Credibility of Military Threats (book manuscript in preparation)
WORK IN PROGRESS
“Allies or Adversaries? Rethinking China Grand Strategy Theories in an Era of Disrupted Alignments”
“Xi, Trump, and the U.S.-China Grand Strategy Mismatch: A Case for Strategic Empathy”
“Waiting Games: Strategic (Im)Patience and Foreign Policy Decision-Making in the U.S. and China”
“Huntington’s Second National Security Paradox: Professional Military Advice and Civil-Military Trust” (with Damon Coletta).
“Why Commanders Freeze or Act: The Psychological Spiral of (In)Decision under Pressure” (with Ian Li).
"Old Answers to New Worlds: Why Powerful States Reject Multipolar Orders" (with Ryan Singsank).